SorareProbabilities - Stefan Gartenmann 2022 rare 12 - all game week
GW 476 seasonal contenders : 145th - 296.24 points
Test on So5 simulator
5 - 1 
8% 0pts
dnp
0'
5 - 1 
12.5% 48pts
43
90'
LAU 0 - 2 
8.5% 85pts
8.5% 85pts
78
85'
1 - 4 
55% 94pts
61
64'
0 - 4 
3% 69pts
67
79'
GW 475 seasonal contenders : 17th - 345.88 points
Test on So5 simulator
0 - 4
8% 84pts
78
90'
0 - 4
62.5% 107pts
66
90'
1 - 1 
8% 74pts
69
90'
1 - 1 
11.5% 45pts
41
90'
0 - 0 
6.5% 35pts
33
80'
GW 473 seasonal contenders : 137th - 377.78 points
Test on So5 simulator 1 - 0 
8% 82pts
76
90'
1 - 0
12.5% 91pts
81
90'
4 - 0 
57.5% 122pts
77
71'
2 - 1 
13% 50pts
44
82'
2 - 0 
8.5% 33pts
8.5% 33pts
31
90'
GW 471 global cap : 3252nd - 285.59 points
Test on So5 simulator 1 - 0 
8% 76pts
71
90'
1 - 0
12.5% 81pts
72
90'
2 - 0 
5% 43pts
41
90'
1 - 3 BOD
24% 43pts
35
89'
3 - 2 
5.5% 42pts
40
56'
GW 467 seasonal contenders : 501st - 323.61 points
Test on So5 simulator 0 - 0 
7.5% 76pts
71
90'
0 - 0
12.5% 71pts
64
90'
0 - 1 CHI
53.5% 83pts
54
90'
BOY 1 - 2
7% 55pts
7% 55pts
51
79'
BOY 1 - 2
4.5% 38pts
4.5% 38pts
37
30'
GW 465 global cap : 416th - 355.36 points
Test on So5 simulator 0 - 0
7% 73pts
68
90'
0 - 0
12.5% 106pts
95
90'
1 - 3 
8% 60pts
55
90'
BOD 1 - 0 VIK
23.5% 61pts
23.5% 61pts
50
90'
0 - 1 
14.5% 55pts
48
89'
(0.0024Ξ)
Thresholds : $80.00
GW 463 All Star Rare : 3415th - 220.38 points
Test on So5 simulator
1 - 4 
10.5% 13pts
12
90'
2 - 1 
12% 58pts
52
90'
0 - 3 
8% 46pts
43
90'
2 - 3 FCN
30.5% 64pts
49
90'
1 - 1 
12% 38pts
34
63'
GW 459 global cap : 4264th - 289.34 points
Test on So5 simulator 0 - 1
6% 83pts
78
90'
0 - 1
12% 67pts
60
90'
1 - 1
7.5% 49pts
45
90'
1 - 0 
32% 62pts
47
90'
2 - 2 
12% 29pts
26
86'
GW 458 global cap : 66th - 358.29 points
Test on So5 simulator 1 - 0
5.5% 36pts
34
90'
1 - 0 
13.5% 90pts
79
90'
1 - 0
12% 54pts
48
90'
2 - 1 
60% 128pts
80
90'
1 - 1 
11% 50pts
45
57'
(0.011Ξ)
GW 450 global cap : 260th - 269.76 points
Test on So5 simulator
3 - 0 AUC
5% 18pts
17
90'
3 - 3
12% 99pts
88
90'
3 - 0 
28% 50pts
39
79'
2 - 1 
8% 35pts
33
57'
2 - 1 
12% 67pts
60
79'
(0.0021Ξ)
GW 437 global cap : 4097th - 134.24 points
Test on So5 simulator
2 - 1 
8% 0pts
dnp
0'
0 - 3 
31.5% 37pts
28
90'
1 - 0 
7.5% 54pts
51
90'
1 - 0 
3% 29pts
28
83'
3 - 1 
7% 15pts
14
58'
GW 434 global cap : 7984th - 142.22 points
Test on So5 simulator
2 - 2 
6% 39pts
37
90'
2 - 1
11.5% 46pts
41
90'
2 - 1 
7.5% 14pts
13
90'
No Match
3 - 3 
24.5% 43pts
35
45'
GW 431 global cap : 5125th - 201.44 points
Test on So5 simulator
2 - 1 
3.5% 38pts
37
90'
LAU 1 - 1 
31% 57pts
31% 57pts
44
90'
2 - 1 
11% 56pts
51
90'
0 - 0 
10% 50pts
46
90'
FAK 1 - 1 DIN
9.5% 0pts
9.5% 0pts
dnp
0'
GW 430 global cap : 870th - 272.32 points
Test on So5 simulator
5 - 0
7.5% 4pts
4
90'
WTT 1 - 1 
9% 69pts
9% 69pts
63
82'
0 - 1 
11% 58pts
53
90'
0 - 1
6% 60pts
56
86'
3 - 0 
26.5% 82pts
65
82'
GW 429 global cap : 2156th - 267.83 points
Test on So5 simulator
2 - 2 COP
7% 36pts
33
90'
0 - 0 
6% 56pts
53
90'
2 - 0
31% 80pts
61
90'
OB 1 - 1 FCN
10% 50pts
10% 50pts
46
70'
1 - 0 
11% 46pts
42
83'
GW 428 global cap : 1042nd - 247.91 points
Test on So5 simulatorBAC 1 - 1
4.5% 23pts
4.5% 23pts
22
90'
2 - 1 WTT
8.5% 64pts
59
90'
HJK 2 - 2
31% 0pts
31% 0pts
dnp
0'
2 - 2
5% 69pts
66
88'
2 - 0 
10.5% 92pts
83
90'
GW 413 global cap : 5738th - 269.78 points
Test on So5 simulator
2 - 1 
8% 24pts
22
90'
0 - 0
31% 64pts
49
90'
MAZ 1 - 2 
6.5% 95pts
6.5% 95pts
89
90'
1 - 2 PLA
11% 36pts
33
90'
0 - 2 
11.5% 51pts
45
90'
GW 412 All Star Rare : 686th - 313.03 points
Test on So5 simulator 6 - 0 
4% 81pts
78
90'
1 - 1 HJK
11% 48pts
43
90'
5 - 1 
9% 26pts
24
72'
1 - 0 LEG
6.5% 42pts
40
90'
2 - 1 
31% 116pts
89
90'
GW 402 Challenger Europe Rare : 212th - 243.51 points
Test on So5 simulatorLEG 1 - 1
11.5% 41pts
11.5% 41pts
37
120'
LEG 1 - 1
10% 52pts
10% 52pts
47
120'
LEG 1 - 1
10.5% 31pts
10.5% 31pts
28
60'
LEG 1 - 1
29.5% 71pts
29.5% 71pts
55
113'
LEG 1 - 1
7% 49pts
7% 49pts
45
105'
GW 401 All Star Rare Pro : 1129th - 239.96 points
Test on So5 simulator
2 - 1
7.5% 54pts
50
90'
FCN 3 - 0
9.5% 55pts
9.5% 55pts
50
90'
FCN 3 - 0
29% 50pts
29% 50pts
39
87'
FCN 3 - 0
4.5% 35pts
4.5% 35pts
33
90'
0 - 0 
11.5% 46pts
41
68'
GW 400 Challenger Europe Rare : 116th - 292.37 points
Test on So5 simulator 3 - 3 LEG
15.5% 15pts
13
90'
3 - 3 LEG
14.5% 52pts
45
90'
3 - 3 LEG
14% 94pts
83
90'
3 - 3 LEG
33.5% 87pts
65
90'
3 - 3 LEG
10% 44pts
40
72'
GW 398 global cap : 264th - 204.7 points
Test on So5 simulator 2 - 0 
dnp
0'
5 - 1 
65
90'
5 - 1 
79
90'
5 - 1 
32
75'
2 - 0
29
63'
GW 379 Challenger Europe Rare : 12th - 330.91 points
Test on So5 simulatorVFF 0 - 1
13% 83pts
13% 83pts
73
90'
VFF 0 - 1
11.5% 53pts
11.5% 53pts
48
90'
VFF 0 - 1
9.5% 61pts
9.5% 61pts
56
90'
VFF 0 - 1
8% 52pts
8% 52pts
49
90'
VFF 0 - 1
31% 81pts
31% 81pts
62
90'
(0.0071Ξ)
GW 377 Challenger Europe Rare : 487th - 231.13 points
Test on So5 simulator 4 - 2 OB
12% 38pts
34
90'
4 - 2 OB
10.5% 33pts
30
90'
1 - 1 
28.5% 58pts
45
74'
3 - 0 DIN
12% 102pts
91
79'
3 - 0 DIN
13.5% 0pts
dnp
0'
GW 375 Challenger Europe Rare : 604th - 273.52 points
Test on So5 simulatorSIF 3 - 3
11.5% 34pts
11.5% 34pts
30
90'
SIF 3 - 3
30% 51pts
30% 51pts
39
90'
SIF 3 - 3
7% 13pts
7% 13pts
12
90'
TOR 1 - 3
12% 108pts
12% 108pts
97
90'
DIN 2 - 4 LOK
13.5% 68pts
13.5% 68pts
60
83'
GW 371 All Star Rare : 1936th - 287.04 points
Test on So5 simulator 3 - 1 ACH
9% 49pts
45
90'
2 - 2 
5.5% 64pts
60
90'
3 - 1 ACH
7% 94pts
88
84'
1 - 2 ASL
26.5% 53pts
42
90'
ALA 3 - 1
5% 27pts
5% 27pts
25
79'